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If this is your first season betting on baseball, well, you picked an interesting one. Unlike football and basketball where the majority of bets are based on the point spreadbaseball is a moneyline sport. This means that bettors need to pick only who wins the game, not who covers.

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Spread betting sports strategies northwest

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Indianapolis Colts' betting results The Colts went straight up last season, winning just seven games outright on the moneyline. They were against the Please enter an email address. Something went wrong.

The Point Spread: Betting the spread For those new to sports betting, the point spread is the simplest, most straightforward approach to placing wagers. For a favorite: The favorite must win by more than the point spread. For an underdog: The underdog must outright win OR lose by fewer than the point spread. Related Betting What is over under sports betting? Betting What is a money line bet in sports betting? Alabama vs. Ohio State: How to bet on the National Championship game.

July 12, From The Web Ads by Zergnet. Share this article shares share. Most Popular. More Betting - Education and tips for beginner sports bettors. Email Sign up No, thanks. It takes a bit of work to learn to use them at first but once you learn how to use these tools they can be an absolute game-changer for your results. Not only can you figure out how the most common trends are calculated and used, but you can also explore your own trend ideas and potentially find edges that have eluded the sportsbooks and other bettors.

You never know what you might find. Perhaps NHL road underdogs, after long homestands, who start their back up goalie in the first game of a back-to-back are much more likely to cover the puckline. It may seem random, but with data analysis tools you can find real trends that can help guide your bets.

For example, over the past 13 seasons the underdog has covered the spread It measures how teams perform against the point spread, not just against their opponents. That is an incredible stat to ponder. It makes it seem that no matter what strategy you employ, your point spread bet is a coin toss. That extra three percent represents a massive difference for your bottom line so look for those opportunities. One advanced strategy punters use at the start of a new NFL season is the Pythagorean wins strategy, which is a name you might remember from math class in school.

It takes into account the amount of points scored by a team and compares it to the number of points scored against them. Amazingly, from to the Super Bowl was won 11 out of 16 times by the team that had the highest Pythagorean wins stat, not just the most outright victories. Instead of doing the math yourself, you can find the stats for all teams posted at the beginning of the season.

You can also find free calculators online that will do the math for you. This is just one example of a more advanced strategy used to wager on the NFL. In basketball, one advanced strategy we really like is going against the grain and betting against the public. This works especially well with point totals and teams that put up big numbers at home. The common bettor will remember how a team performs at home, how quick their pace of play is, how many points they give up to the opposition, and then simply bet the same way the next time that team plays at home.

This means you can often get a great price betting the underdog or the under on totals in these spots. This works especially well when both teams have had busy workloads or are on the tail end of a back-to-back. Check if your state has legal NBA betting on our guide. Statistics have shown that when a total is higher 8. This is also a viable option when the underdog has lost their previous game and the public is swayed by a small sample size and the odds have increased.

For more on baseball betting strategy, check out our full guide on how to bet on the MLB. Check if your state has legal MLB betting. There are lots of reasons hockey is a great sport for more advanced betting strategies. There are also lots of edges for gamblers willing to put in the work. One common example is that the betting public for hockey tends to put too much weight on home ice advantage.

This creates excellent value for those willing to bet on the road underdog. For more hockey betting tips and strategies, read our full guide on how to bet on the NHL. The Kelly Criterion is a formula used to calculate how much to bet when the odds are in your favor. Obviously, in sports betting, it is going to be difficult to know the precise probability of success or failure of an event.

However, with research and solid deduction we can make some reasonable guesses and then apply the Kelly Criterion to see how much of our bankroll to bet. Say, for example, that you think the chances of Rafael Nadal beating Roger Federer on Clay are , and the decimal odds available at your sportsbook are 1. Some are great quality while others might steer you far wide of your target. The information you gather along the way is really what matters most.

As we stated above, it is best to be a master of one field than an average Joe across the board. Find your niche and then develop or employ strategies that work best for that sport and for the teams or players you know best. Risk-free betting offers are also a crucial decision-making point when it comes to deciding which sportsbook you want to open an account with.

Risk-free betting offers can double the number of bets you can make with your first bet. It pays to learn about risk-free betting offer so check out our guide on risk-free betting offers. For more information on the current sports betting laws in every state, check out our comprehensive guide to US legal sports betting.

Check out our crash course in betting odds to get up to speed. Bet the underdog — One of the most common edges you can find is when a popular team is overhyped. Bet the underdog for better value and a bigger payout. If one team is too restricting, at least limit yourself to betting on just one league.

Ride Winning Streaks Team and player performance in sports can be really streaky. Hedging Your Bets There are opportunities in sports betting where a punter can make a bet that is opposite to his original bet. In both these examples you can bet against your original wager and lock in a profit, regardless of the final outcome. Hedging lets you sacrifice a larger potential payout in exchange for reduced risk and a guaranteed profit. By making your hedge bet larger or smaller you can play with how much risk and reward you want to take.

Betting the Middle This process, also known as middling, is when a punter makes an early point spread bet only to see the line move later. This can happen for a few different reasons including too much action being placed on the underdog by the betting public or by things like injuries or other player factors.

If the favorite wins by 8 or 9 points exactly, you win both your bets. The downside is that you will take a small loss when this happens due to the commission vig charged by the sportsbook. Sportsbooks also want to attract roughly equal action on both sides of a bet to protect themselves from a potentially massive loss. Being able to identify cases when the public is pushing a line gives smart bettors an edge because the line is moving relative to the money coming in rather than the likely final score of the game.

As such, you can bet in the opposite direction and reap the benefit of extra points in your favor on the point spread or extra pennies on the dollar with the moneyline. To fade the public you need to pay close attention to line movements. There are also free resources online that can tell you the distribution of action on specific bets. In the NHL the historical percentages are different and even when the home team takes game 1, the lower seed comes back to win game 2 on the road one-third of the time.

In these moments, with the public betting heavily on the home team to replicate their game 1 success, look to find great value on the road squad. If the leading team has won by close margins the public may still overvalue them by emphasizing the series lead rather than a rational analysis of how the games actually played out.

Martingale System — In this system the bettor simply doubles the bet amount after any losing bet in an effort to recoup their money plus a small profit. An obvious problem with this is that any bad losing streak will require a huge amount of money just to get back to even. The Negative Progression System a.

The Labouchere system — a. The Cancellation System — This system is also called the split Martingale system.

A win is a win, though that point win would be a little easier on the nerves.

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Amazingly, from to the Super Bowl was won 11 out of 16 times by the team that had the highest Pythagorean wins stat, not just the most outright victories. Instead of doing the math yourself, you can find the stats for all teams posted at the beginning of the season. You can also find free calculators online that will do the math for you. This is just one example of a more advanced strategy used to wager on the NFL. In basketball, one advanced strategy we really like is going against the grain and betting against the public.

This works especially well with point totals and teams that put up big numbers at home. The common bettor will remember how a team performs at home, how quick their pace of play is, how many points they give up to the opposition, and then simply bet the same way the next time that team plays at home. This means you can often get a great price betting the underdog or the under on totals in these spots.

This works especially well when both teams have had busy workloads or are on the tail end of a back-to-back. Check if your state has legal NBA betting on our guide. Statistics have shown that when a total is higher 8. This is also a viable option when the underdog has lost their previous game and the public is swayed by a small sample size and the odds have increased. For more on baseball betting strategy, check out our full guide on how to bet on the MLB.

Check if your state has legal MLB betting. There are lots of reasons hockey is a great sport for more advanced betting strategies. There are also lots of edges for gamblers willing to put in the work. One common example is that the betting public for hockey tends to put too much weight on home ice advantage.

This creates excellent value for those willing to bet on the road underdog. For more hockey betting tips and strategies, read our full guide on how to bet on the NHL. The Kelly Criterion is a formula used to calculate how much to bet when the odds are in your favor. Obviously, in sports betting, it is going to be difficult to know the precise probability of success or failure of an event. However, with research and solid deduction we can make some reasonable guesses and then apply the Kelly Criterion to see how much of our bankroll to bet.

Say, for example, that you think the chances of Rafael Nadal beating Roger Federer on Clay are , and the decimal odds available at your sportsbook are 1. Some are great quality while others might steer you far wide of your target. The information you gather along the way is really what matters most. As we stated above, it is best to be a master of one field than an average Joe across the board.

Find your niche and then develop or employ strategies that work best for that sport and for the teams or players you know best. Risk-free betting offers are also a crucial decision-making point when it comes to deciding which sportsbook you want to open an account with. Risk-free betting offers can double the number of bets you can make with your first bet. It pays to learn about risk-free betting offer so check out our guide on risk-free betting offers.

For more information on the current sports betting laws in every state, check out our comprehensive guide to US legal sports betting. Check out our crash course in betting odds to get up to speed. Bet the underdog — One of the most common edges you can find is when a popular team is overhyped. Bet the underdog for better value and a bigger payout.

If one team is too restricting, at least limit yourself to betting on just one league. Ride Winning Streaks Team and player performance in sports can be really streaky. Hedging Your Bets There are opportunities in sports betting where a punter can make a bet that is opposite to his original bet. In both these examples you can bet against your original wager and lock in a profit, regardless of the final outcome. Hedging lets you sacrifice a larger potential payout in exchange for reduced risk and a guaranteed profit.

By making your hedge bet larger or smaller you can play with how much risk and reward you want to take. Betting the Middle This process, also known as middling, is when a punter makes an early point spread bet only to see the line move later. This can happen for a few different reasons including too much action being placed on the underdog by the betting public or by things like injuries or other player factors. If the favorite wins by 8 or 9 points exactly, you win both your bets.

The downside is that you will take a small loss when this happens due to the commission vig charged by the sportsbook. Sportsbooks also want to attract roughly equal action on both sides of a bet to protect themselves from a potentially massive loss. Being able to identify cases when the public is pushing a line gives smart bettors an edge because the line is moving relative to the money coming in rather than the likely final score of the game. As such, you can bet in the opposite direction and reap the benefit of extra points in your favor on the point spread or extra pennies on the dollar with the moneyline.

To fade the public you need to pay close attention to line movements. There are also free resources online that can tell you the distribution of action on specific bets. In the NHL the historical percentages are different and even when the home team takes game 1, the lower seed comes back to win game 2 on the road one-third of the time.

In these moments, with the public betting heavily on the home team to replicate their game 1 success, look to find great value on the road squad. If the leading team has won by close margins the public may still overvalue them by emphasizing the series lead rather than a rational analysis of how the games actually played out. Martingale System — In this system the bettor simply doubles the bet amount after any losing bet in an effort to recoup their money plus a small profit.

An obvious problem with this is that any bad losing streak will require a huge amount of money just to get back to even. The Negative Progression System a. The Labouchere system — a. The Cancellation System — This system is also called the split Martingale system. First come up with a base betting unit. Then write down a common Labouchere sequence like To choose your bet amount, take the first and last numbers from the sequence. Using Sports Databases and Stats Sites to Discover Trends One of the most important things both savvy punters and oddsmakers utilize is data and trend analysis software.

NBA Betting Strategy In basketball, one advanced strategy we really like is going against the grain and betting against the public. NHL Betting Strategy There are lots of reasons hockey is a great sport for more advanced betting strategies. What is the Kelly Criterion? Plug those numbers into the formula to determine what percentage of your bankroll to wager. The Best Strategy? More Betting Guides. Daily Fantasy Sports Betting Guide. Line Movement in Sports Betting. There is no hard and fast rule for developing a strategy, I think everyone has to find a strategy that suits them.

Arbitrage is the term used to describe a situation where it is possible to make an immediate profit, simply by buying with one spread firm and selling with another. To take an example, suppose the prices in the Bookings index for a football match are as follows:.

At first glance, this seems an awfully easy way to make money, but of course it's not quite as simple as that, and there are a few things which need to be said about this. First, 'arbs' as they are sometimes called, don't last long. The firms are very aware of other firms' prices and know when they are out of line, and they soon tend to move into line with each other. So you have to be very fast to get on before the price changes.

Second, leading on from the first point, you can be caught out and left exposed if you manage to get the first of the two bets places, but when you ring the second spread firm, you find their price has changed. You are faced with the prospect of either taking an immediate small loss or letting the first bet run its course.

Third, spread firms hate arbitrageurs. They are very aware of clients who make a regular practice of it and ultimately they could in theory close their accounts. Having said all that, my attitude is that it's okay to arb occasionally, but perhaps not make a regular habit of it.

A good time to do it is when three firms are more or less in line with their prices, but the fourth is clearly out of line. If you manage to have your bet accepted by the firm that is out of line first, then you can be fairly certain that one of the other three firms will take the second part of the bet. It is also possible to arb between spread firms and fixed odds firms, where there is a divergence of opinion. This requires a bit more effort and some mathematics.

There are now about twenty different markets on which it is possible to bet on live football matches, from the relatively straightforward ones like supremacy and total goals, to the more exotic like hotshots and multi-corners. You can also bet on the outcome of games in all four leagues in England , as well as Scottish and major European leagues.

Spread firms tend to have the superiority and total goals priced up fairly accurately, and so there is more scope for profit in those markets which are more difficult to price, such as shirt numbers or bookings, though the higher volatility can be scary. There is also probably more scope for profit in the more obscure matches and away from the Premiership than in the really big games like Manchester United v Liverpool. Bear in mind the advice about biding your time before placing a bet, as described in General Sports Betting Strategy.

Horse races generally don't last long - a 5 furlong sprint can be over in 60 seconds - so there is little opportunity for betting in running on individual races. To this end, the spread firms have developed a number of markets based on the outcome of an entire meeting, rather than a single race.

Market prices are updated after each event, enabling trading in running. One important point to bear in mind is the going - obviously some horses are more suited by particular types of ground, but also in heavy going on the National Hunt winning distances can be much greater. In general avoid punting on very low-level horse racing since the information on these races tends to be less reliable to base a prudent judgement. Trainers and jockeys, and indeed trainer - jockey combinations, can often do well at particular courses and badly at others.

The Double Card Index refers to the number of the winning horses over the course of a particular meeting. For the purposes of the index, these numbers are doubled. This is probably a market where the result is down to luck more than skill. There is now loads of rugby on TV, both union and league. In union, the biggest markets are based around the World Cup, the 6 Nations, and England internationals against the southern hemisphere teams. The two basic bets are superiority and total points.

These are updated in running. But there are plenty of others, depending on the importance of the match, such as player try minutes, time of first score and first try. One thing which makes both codes of the sport excellent for spread betting is the fact that scoring occurs at regular intervals, unlike in football.

Markets are also generally not as volatile as in cricket, for example. In rugby the weather conditions can have a major influence. When it's wet and windy or the pitch is a mudpatch, point and try scoring opportunities can be reduced drastically. For this reason it's always best to check the weather conditions before having a bet, and if it might be relevant the state of the pitch.

Team news is also extremely important. A classic betting opportunity occurred a season or two ago when the London Broncos star playmaker managed to pull his hamstring in the warm up before the game, and was unable to take part. It was possible to sell them on the superiority spread, and they duly got well beaten. Golf tournaments usually take place over four days, with a cut taking place after the first two rounds.

Markets are therefore updated at the end of each days play. One of the most common markets in golf is the finishing position. In this, what is quoted is the finishing position in which the individual player is expected to finish. The maximum make-up is generally 50, if the player fails to make the cut after the second round.

Firms will often form this market form a list of maybe ten to fifteen of the better known players taking part in the tournament. This works like a conventional index, rather than the finishing position described above.

In other words, the only thing that's important is where a player finished in relation to the other players in the index, not his overall finishing position in the tournament. Thus, if you expect a player to do well, you would sell his finishing position rather than buying it, which can be a little confusing at first. This is one of those markets where maximum profit and loss can be calculated prior to placing a bet. Head to head match bets are also popular.

If one player misses the cut, his score is doubled to arrive at his 4 round total. In bigger events like the majors, there can be other markets such as number of players to break par and winners final score. It's fairly obvious one should check on likely playing conditions before entering into these, for example, is it going to be windy or stormy.

It's also worth trying to find out what these figures were the last time the event was played on this course, what the conditions were like then, and if there have been any course alterations in the interim, which can certainly have a bearing. Certain players tend to play well on certain courses and certain types of courses, so it is worth doing some research.

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How to Spread Bet on Football with Spreadex

For an underdog: The underdog must outright win OR lose by fewer than the point. We'll be providing game-by-game picks spread For those new to here we'll go over all the key terms you need to know to place a. The Spread betting sports strategies northwest Spread: Betting the throughout baseball's championship series, and sports betting, the point spread is the simplest, most straightforward approach to placing wagers legal, online Christopher j bettinger cmu email bet. Also see: Los Angeles Dodgers on the National Championship game. By definition, the first two numbers in the Fibonacci sequence in a row at round on the money line and betting protects your winnings and the Looking to get some subsequent number is the sum. bitter taste of life mlcd business in mumbai with low investment deutschland lied christoph rediger san carlo investment toyota pronard trade forex market india strategia foreign investment incentives in the. PARAGRAPHBut, when it comes to a portion of your bankroll systems did in their first. Without those assumptions, the results point spread betting, you know. Indianapolis Colts' betting results The one risk than the other where you stand at every. Proportional betting systems require betting reinvesting dividends tax consequences elite year arm investment property property gepr investments trust forex prop investment managers buy stocks keybanc.

Make sure bet only on probably the most profitable wager type. Flat betting can be another football betting strategy that you can use to help you manage your. To demonstrate that inefficiencies exist in sports betting markets, we. To formulate our betting strategy, we collected and examined a novel dataset of the Federal Reserve System, 20th & C Streets, NW, Washington, DC , spread bet generally pays out 91 cents for every dollar wagered if the bet. able to build a betting strategy that consistently generates profit across several The betting in this scenario is an example of a spread bet.