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One of the biggest problems that college basketball handicappers run into is that they try to complicate things. The key to making good college basketball picks is to first know what is important, and then train yourself to only consider those things. Analyze the teams and their fatigue levels. You may even want to study up on home courts in college basketball to give yourself a legitimate edge. If you do this, you will stand a great chance. Where handicappers run into problems with their college basketball picks is when they try to get too cute.
You must accept from the beginning that some factors just cannot go into your analysis when you are making picks. You have to limit your scope of research to those things that really matter and then you must spend your time analyzing those items as thoroughly as possible. I have often heard people talking about how basketball — and college buckets in particular — is the most unpredictable game out there. After making college basketball picks for many years, I would have to disagree with this on many levels.
Basketball involves a round ball on a level court. It involves a round goal with level glass. Things are predictable in basketball. The ball will generally bounce up in the same spot every single time. As you make college basketball picks, recognize that the game has been played hundreds of times already with varying results. Still, this is no reason to really worry too much. If you make enough college basketball picks over a large enough sample of time, the predictable game should open up for you.
Smart bettors recognize that making college basketball picks in the early season will be a different process than making those same picks late in the year. As someone who likes to be successful and someone who enjoys money, you should be set on formulating an approach that helps you manage these differences.
For one, you should not be looking to be every single game early in the year. Often times, it is better to sit and wait on your opportunity to arise. You can really do well by taking a hard look at a few different teams. Try to watch multiple games from one or two teams and understand how that team is playing. Are they underrated by the books for some reason? Are they better than the sportsbooks give them credit for?
If you can watch teams and identify this before most of the public, then there will be a three or four game window where you can make big college basketball bets and cash the ticket. This is the ultimate value-betting spot, so make sure you get your chips into the middle of the table.
The season is close, and college basketball is a low of fun for people who know what they are doing. There are games every night, so you have a chance to make college basketball picks and walk away with a substantial amount of money. This is only true when your approach is sophisticated, though. Rule number one is that you must respect home court and understand its impact.
As a bettor, you would then predict whether the final point total will fall over or under and make your bet from there. For totals betting, the juice plays out a bit differently than spread betting. Enter halftime betting. Since the NCAA divides games into two twenty-minute halves, there is no option for first quarter or first half betting as there is for the NBA.
Instead, sports books will offer lines that pertain only to the second half. That means being vigilant and timely in placing bets at this juncture of a game. The new spread essentially resets the game score to For first time halftime bettors, it is best to keep your wager size to a minimum as there is a steep learning curve and not much time to make necessary adjustments.
With a parlay bet, you can rubberband your bets together to increase your potential payout. In order to win, each bet has to cover. Spread bets, totals, and moneylines can all be combined. Some sportsbooks offer you the opportunity to include halftime bets. Furthermore, parlays are not limited to individual sports. In case one of your bets pushes ties , the bet will essentially disappear from the parlay. So a parlay of five bets in which one pushes will yield a four-bet payout.
A teaser bet is the same as a parlay, except the bookmakers give you points to increase your chances of winning. The downside is a reduced payout. The teaser, listed as -4, would apply to each bet within the parlay. So if one of your bets is a spread bet on the Jayhawks, and the Jayhawks started with a spread of , the teaser would reduce the spread to A futures bet is, as you might guess, a prop bet placed on future outcomes. Who will cut down the nets at the end of March Madness and win the next college basketball national championship?
Oddsmakers offer future lines on almost every team during the season. These outcomes can range from who will win the NCAA championship to who will win specific conferences, to which player will take home the tournament MVP trophy. Futures are not limited to teams, but can be applied to players, point totals, win totals, and more. As the season goes on, future odds change depending on the team. That about summarizes the different bets you can make for NBA betting.
College basketball, aside from the differential in totals margins, hinges on a lot of the same statistics as NBA ball. And as with the NBA, sharps tend to ignore those stats that to the square or layperson would seem especially significant, like points per game. Handicappers tend to focus their attention on situational circumstances. This means a made three-pointer is worth one and a half times as much as a made two-pointer. In a real game of basketball, what matters is points scored per possession.
Free throws can easily be the difference between a covered spread and a lost bet. How many games, how many bets, have been decided by a single point? More than we can count at least without concerted research. The point is, free throws matter.
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